Public sentiment is predominantly negative towards the US tariffs on Indian exports, characterized by frustration over perceived bullying tactics and concerns about economic stability. Many Indians emphasize the need for self-reliance and diversifying partnerships beyond the US, with significant support for strengthening ties within BRICS and criticism of US policies. There is a strong nationalistic tone, with many expressing confidence in India's resilience and capacity to confront these challenges.

India

United States

BRICS countries

I don’t believe this will strengthen China-India relations. At current climate, 25% does not look so terrible for India. The Indian economy relies heavily on domestic consumption and exports are more about tech service, so a 25% tariff on India differs from one on Korea, Taiwan, Germany, or Japan which exports automobiles and semiconductors.

However, if more measures are taken against India due to Russian oil or weapons, China will likely exploit India significantly and India will have some difficulty retaliating or coping with a situation. Also, how Trump sets tariff rates against China, Pakistan and Bangladesh will influence India's situation.

wsyang

Thats a poor article actually. Tariffs on China or India impact their exports to the US and thats all. For things to change, China would have to export more to India or the other way around… wont happen.

Politically China and India are at odds in the Himalayas and it wont change. China supports Indias ennemy, Pakistan…. So unless China change policy on these 2 topics, nothing will change between them.
But it might impact India - US relationships. Maybe make India closer to EU

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Aren't China and India having border wars with one another? How will they strengthen each other bonds?

UserLesser2004

Backfire from whose perspective?  Americans would love all the visa workers to go home.  It’s a dream come true.

Nofanta

The fact is Trump's tariffs are Making America Hated Again and strengthening ties everywhere against the US. 

sepata

What happened? Donny got mad because Indians are not getting pushed around?

Expert_Average958

Could? It's already happening, though it's broader than just the India tariffs.

All of the Trump's tariffs have done damage to America's standing in the world. Both the arbitrary and haphazard way they were decided on, and the utterly chaotic way they've been implemented, have destroyed te US's reputation as a reliable trading partner. Countries aren't even trying to make deals with such a partner, instead they're offering a few meaningless baubles which they know Trump will accept as he's an idiot. The EU e.g.

[Fossil Fool - How Europe took Trump for a ride](https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/fossil-fool); Paul Krugman

In such a world countries will look elsewhere for reliable partners and meanigful trade deals. To other large trading blocks and economies, such as the EU, India and China. Investment will take place with and between these blocks, not with the US which will increasingly be shunned.

Skandling

China and India have a pretty major border dispute and relationships are sour. It goes beyond some tariffs.

China is currently building the largest dam ever conceived by mankind near Tibet, at a big river that goes from there into India and Bangladesh. That gives China a direct leverage once completed, as they can close the dam and greatly reduce the flow of water.

Misfiring

I know it sounds too good to be true, but just imagine a China India Russia axis. Not even for defence, more like an exclusive squad to push back against Western economic dominance. Yeah, BRICS is a thing, but if just these three came together? That alone could give Trump a mini meltdown.

Appropriate_Stage164

Here is my answer with experience. Our govt need to Lift all ban from Chinese apps etc. In past I work for ecommerce startup and we used do crores/millions worth sale from Tiktok. After I started my startup, I sold huge no of electronics on ClubFactory which had Zero fees for platform, my projection was to reach 1 cr/1o millions sale in year until, in covid our govt banned it. While I was getting screw on Amazon than Flipkart. Now they have monopoly on everything. Lets bring Chinese here on 50:50 partnership give them access to our economy in exchange of Money and Tech. Only then we can survive and have our own industry. We can handle Trump.

AHVANstartup

Asians and Middle easterns should form an alliance , we have been the victims of oppression from the west, this is not a time to fight among ourselves , leave religions , leave geographies , Be united under the same pain of the past funerals.

guilty_scorpio

No it won't. India and Pakistan hate each other. China loves Pakistan. China looks down on India. Indians see China as a threat to their existence.

There's no trust between the two countries. Quite the opposite in fact. They spy on each other like there is no tomorrow.

The only way it will mend is if India gives into Chinese demands and accepts the Chinese hegemony like all India's neighbors (Bhutan still pending).

dookie224

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What about Software exports like Google, facebook, whatsapp. Why are they not counted.

Tacama

All major rating agencies like Moody's, barkley, fitch, s&amp;p foresee impact of about 0.2-0.3 pp on Indian GDP growth by this.

Sun1385In

Does this include IT &amp; software exports? We have many IT companies that have many US customers whom we charge in USD. Any idea? I believe that number may be more than this.

Any_Contribution_238

So, china exported 428 billion worth of goods.

80 billion isn't "more than any other country.'

LateScientist6316

I'm not an economist but can someone tell me what will we lose if we Boycott USA completely?

iceinmyveinsIguess

What is everything else ? Can anybody explain

ehmotherfuckers

This chart really shows how important the U.S. is for Indian exports—nearly $80 billion worth. If Trump goes ahead with a 25% tariff, it's not just numbers on paper. It could hit millions of Indian jobs and small businesses that depend on U.S. markets. Sure, the trade balance favors India, and that’s why we’re in the spotlight. But let’s be real if tariffs go up, U.S. consumers will feel it too. Things like affordable medicines, jewellery, and electronics from India won’t come cheap anymore. In the end, both sides lose if politics gets in the way of smart diplomacy

spirit101_gg

Thanks for the info. We should do more trade with every country in the world. More exports and less imports would be better.

Rus1996

Now compare it to russia..where they don't buy anything from us..still we put them on a pedestal

Accomplished-Rip5200

Why the f countries import and export same things

[deleted]

The unraveling of a seemingly positive trade dynamic shows the precarious nature of crafting an economic partnership with a mercurial Trump administration. India appeared on the fast track to a trade deal. An early White House visit by Prime Minister Narendra Modi led to months of negotiations. By July, the Indians believed they had struck an agreement and that Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer were simply waiting on President Donald Trump’s approval.

strategicpublish

No new information in the article.

“He is upset” - you don’t say…. A lot of Indians are upset too.

omnivision12345

Imagine that in a few decades people will be discussing how a rapist manchild felon became president of US, because Republican voters wanted Democrats to get rekt.

Of course he is upset, someone didn't kiss his ass enough so he tries to punish them by scraping any deal and destroying diplomatic relations. He doesn't care about short or long term implications of this, if he can even fathom them.

Cheerful_Champion

Poor Trumpanzee is such a big pedo snowflake because Modi refused to him a “Nobel Pedo Prize” photo op with Pakistan’s military dictator who is a professional ass kisser.

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India’s economy is pretty well shielded from the US. They just aren’t the same economies. India has way more to gain from cheap Russian oil than it has to gain from a trade relationship with the US. Now if the US were to impose tariffs on outsourced cheap labor, that’s a different story.

Novel-Ground-4815

India's exports to the US are about $130 billion in a $3.9 trillion dollar economy. Trump assumes a level of dependency that doesn't exist.  They have a long history of remaining unaligned, and Modi is a nationalist.  I don't know anything about Indian politics, but can Modi afford to look weak?  Because you know that the moment he caves Trump will start bragging to the world that he kicked Modi's ass.

OldManSand

Trump is the greatest gift from god for India, China, and Russia, now they can really start the multipolar world order they've been planning.

fufa_fafu

As an Indian American who is pro US before pro India. Trump might actually be retarded. By far the dumbest president in American history surrounded by a pedo normalizing Republican yes man party.

Repulsive_Race7314

This tariff dictator needs to be 🥊 this time. Russian oil is just an excuse there are multiple things behind. US is openly supporting terrorists against India now.

buntybunty384

Tarrifs are a tax on the US importer based in the states, Donnie doesn't understand why its not working when its not the exporter getting hit.

Foe117

Trump is a moron. India’s weakness is not in physical product exports to the US, but in outsourced US services. This does not show as deficits, but its impact on the US labor market is arguably far more severe than manufacturing.

areyouentirelysure

India will not and should not flinch….India can take on the economic pressure as the nation has survived England ruthless colonialism…for centuries. This is nothing. 
Trump and its acolytes seem to think this is the 19th century….good luck.

Efficient_Resist_287

It’s a good thing that the US’s major strategic focus isn’t China.  Or that there aren’t nuances to the ways of the world.  

India buying Russian oil on the cheap, doesn’t help Ukraine, but it helps India exert influence in Asia.  

Affectionate-Act6127

The only way to have India respond is to put a hefty fees like 25k per person for the H1 B visas. But US does not produce enough STEM students to keep the tech companies humming.

Avocation79

There are two things going on here at the same time: 

**1).)** U.S. is looking for an excuse to renegotiate trade with India. Both sides have been trying to negotiate a trade deal for quite some time, but there are huge issues: India will not sell out its agricultural base and the U.S. can’t really put tariffs on digital services from India the way it can physical imports from other nations. This makes India extremely difficult to negotiate with but at the same time, extremely important for America to strike a deal with before India erodes America’s white collar base without giving reciprocal access to its consumer market. You simply can’t put tariffs on your IT guy in Bangalore the way you can car parts from Germany because no physical good is crossing a physical border.

What’s happening now is that the gloves are coming off: America is trying to play hardball and express displeasure with India. The problem is that India is just in the flat out superior negotiating position. America may have a technology edge but this is being eroded and India is trending towards further expansion economically and in terms of human capital. Withholding technological transfer to India will not work, because the technological gatekeeping the U.S. used in the past is already being eroded by China. If the U.S. continues then it opens up the U.S. to IP/technological theft not just from China but India as well, which will be fatal to U.S. domestic industry. 

The U.S. should have renegotiated trade deals with China and India after the 2008 financial crisis but both the Chinese and the Indians were too effective at stalling the negotiations to the point that now they have the upper hand. Now they are trying to make up for lost time and doing too much from too weak of a bargaining position. 

**2.)** The bigger issue is that the recent India - Pakistan conflict exposed America’s position. During the conflict Pakistan could reliably count on diplomatic support from Turkey, China, **and America**. India received no support at all from the Quad during this conflict. The IMF even financially bailed Pakistan out during the conflict and Trump/Vance attempted to mediate on behalf of Pakistan while equivocating the two sides internationally. For India, this was a massive red line. 

Subsequently, Trump invited General Asif Munir (ie not Pakistan’s PM) to the White House to negotiate using Pakistani airspace to bomb Iran. This demonstrated to India that the U.S. simply will never give up Pakistan. 

So now India in a position where it sees that the U.S. is not only unreliable diplomatically but that it will always prioritize relations with its mortal enemy *and* that will try to impede India’s technological development further. 

I’d argue that all of this was very predictable.

CoachKoranGodwin

He already tanked the relation with India. 
Even if he backtracks tomorrow, which we all doubt, there is no guarantee that he wouldn’t change his mood again the day after. 
And even if he is out of office we now all have seen, that Americans could vote another lunatic into office anytime. 
Trump is the beginning of the end of US dominance. We, the world, should thank him for this.

mastermindman99

An entire new generation of Indians, born from the late 90s to 2000s will now learn &amp; internalize why their previous generations took a cautious distrustful approach with the US. Sigh. This is penny wise pound foolish move by Trump.

PersonNPlusOne

Thing is, India never relied on US. So title is kinda...you know..

JustGulabjamun

I’ll agree about the bizzare nice treatment of Pakistan and China  but the stuff about secondary sanctions over Russian oil is pretty classic American stuff and viewed from a Rus/Ukr view instead of a south Asian foreign policy one makes a lot of sense.

spinosaurs70

What I don’t quite understand is why the U.S. deep state appears to be giving Trump so much leeway.

The strategic direction of a nation is shaped over years—often decades—not in reaction to short-term political shifts.

Trump now seems singularly focused on forcing Russia to end the war. But even if that happens in the next couple of months, the underlying damage to U.S. alliances and trust is already done. The relationship with key partners is strained, perhaps irreparably.

So what exactly is the endgame here?

curiousstrider

Henry Kissinger said \`It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend, is fatal. To understand what being America's friend meant to Afghans, an Afghan army officer shared his personal story for my blog. A story on fighting the Taliban, to the heart wrenching time he was abandoned, as Kabul fell. My article also features a first person account from a student in Kabul, on life under the old US ally, the Taliban.  
  
[https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2025/07/fighting-taliban-and-betrayal-afghan.html](https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/2025/07/fighting-taliban-and-betrayal-afghan.html)

Dean_46

I’m not sure there’s much I can add here that hasn’t been said already. It’s a huge mistake for the US to antagonise both India and Brazil at the same time, especially since it’s for idiotic reasons in the first place. 

The best way to get both nations to limit their trade with Russia is to offer them long term stable commitments that help improve them. India has a population of well over 1.4 billion and one that is still growing. 

The other way to get those countries to limit their trade with Russia is to let them see that Russia is an unreliable partner and one that isn’t capable of offering much. That’s something they need to experience on their own terms and not be subject to threats of sanctions or tariffs. 

Biden had a much better grasp of geopolitics.

Ethereal-Zenith

If India genuinely does employ a pragmatic and transactional approach to relations with major powers beyond its region then surely a few ripples in US bilateral affairs can be managed easily 

The Indian logic of buying Russian oil is it is simply pursuing its interests. ‘We do balancing, it’s the cheapest option and our economy takes precedence, Ukraine is not our fight’. Fair enough.

The US logic is it is simply pursuing its own interests. ‘We have an opportunity to humble Russia and protect Ukraine, India’s support of Russia enables them and imposes costs on the US in terms of military aid and posture’. Fair enough. If Russia can be stopped the US can get troops out of Europe quicker.

Strong_Remove_2976

Why did you reelect Trump, my American friends? But on a more serious note I think that indian people and the American people are very much aligned - far more stable than earlier. I don't think that the president can spoil this much.

houstonrice

Just 25? Go to the back of queue. They ripped 80+ years of relationship with us.

Jazzlike_770

That's someone's plan, no doubt. Or the plan of a number of state actors. Or both, either way.

DanoPinyon

trump is risks thanking every countries relation

Legitimate-Proof5152

Consider it tanked. 

The Indian-US rapprochement of the last few years bucked a decades long trend of misalignment and disconnect. Trump’s erratic behavior now basically confirms some of the long held fears and prejudices in India regarding Western interests and influence.

Trump really is a bull in a China Shop

Open_Management7430

The US has imposed tariffs exceeding 50% on Indian exports amid tensions over India's purchase of Russian oil, complicating trade negotiations.

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